Non-adherence to cardiometabolic medication as assessed by LC-MS/MS in urine and its association with kidney and cardiovascular outcomes in type 2 diabetes mellitus.

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS: Non-adherence to medication is a frequent barrier in the treatment of patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus, potentially limiting the effectiveness of evidence-based treatments. Previous studies have mostly relied on indirect adherence measures to analyse outcomes based on adherence. The aim of this study was to use LC-MS/MS in urine-a non-invasive, direct and objective measure-to assess non-adherence to cardiometabolic drugs and analyse its association with kidney and cardiovascular outcomes. METHODS: This cohort study includes 1125 participants from the PROVALID study, which follows patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus at the primary care level. Baseline urine samples were tested for 79 cardiometabolic drugs and metabolites thereof via LC-MS/MS. An individual was classified as totally adherent if markers for all drugs were detected, partially non-adherent when at least one marker for one drug was detected, and totally non-adherent if no markers for any drugs were detected. Non-adherence was then analysed in the context of cardiovascular (composite of myocardial infarction, stroke and cardiovascular death) and kidney (composite of sustained 40% decline in eGFR, sustained progression of albuminuria, kidney replacement therapy and death from kidney failure) outcomes. RESULTS: Of the participants, 56.3% were totally adherent, 42.0% were partially non-adherent, and 1.7% were totally non-adherent to screened cardiometabolic drugs. Adherence was highest to antiplatelet and glucose-lowering agents and lowest to lipid-lowering agents. Over a median (IQR) follow-up time of 5.10 (4.12-6.12) years, worse cardiovascular outcomes were observed with non-adherence to antiplatelet drugs (HR 10.13 [95% CI 3.06, 33.56]) and worse kidney outcomes were observed with non-adherence to antihypertensive drugs (HR 1.98 [95% CI 1.37, 2.86]). CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION: This analysis shows that non-adherence to cardiometabolic drug regimens is common in type 2 diabetes mellitus and negatively affects kidney and cardiovascular outcomes.

Renin-Angiotensin-Aldosterone System: From History to Practice of a Secular Topic.

Renin-angiotensin-aldosterone system (RAAS) inhibitors are standard care in patients with hypertension, heart failure or chronic kidney disease (CKD). Although we have studied the RAAS for decades, there are still circumstances that remain unclear. In this review, we describe the evolution of the RAAS and pose the question of whether this survival trait is still necessary to humankind in the present age. We elucidate the benefits on cardiovascular health and kidney disease of RAAS inhibition and present promising novel medications. Furthermore, we address why more studies are needed to establish a new standard of care away from generally prescribing ACEi or ARB toward an improved approach to combine drugs tailored to the needs of individual patients.

Intravenous iron-induced hypophosphatemia and kidney stone disease.

Patients with Crohn's disease are at increased risk for symptomatic nephrolithiasis. Stones in these patients are most commonly composed of calcium oxalate monohydrate or mixed calcium-oxalate and calcium-phosphate. Precipitation of both minerals depends on urinary pH, calcium, phosphate and oxalate excretion. The present manuscript reports on two patients with Crohn's disease and bowel resection, in whom the onset of symptomatic urolithiasis occurred after repeated infusions of ferric carboxymaltose - a drug, which is known to cause hyperphosphaturia. The present study shows that ferric carboxymaltose-induced hyperphosphaturia can be associated with kidney stone formation and symptomatic urolithiasis, especially in patients treated with calcitriol. Calcitriol has been shown to mitigate ferric carboxymaltose-induced secondary hyperparathyroidism and hyperphosphaturia, but is known to increase urinary calcium excretion. Chemical analysis of recovered stones revealed that they were mixed calcium oxalate and phosphate stones. Ring-like deposition of iron detected by spatially resolved elemental analysis using laser ablation-inductively coupled plasma mass spectrometry, showed that the stones also contained iron. Based on our findings, we propose that patients with inflammatory bowel disease requiring intravenous iron therapy should be carefully monitored for the development of hypophosphatemia and urolithiasis. If hypophosphatemia occurs in such patients, calcitriol should be used with caution.

Exercise-Induced Fluid Retention, Cardiac Volume Overload, and Peripheral Edema in Ultra-Distance Cyclists.

Introduction: Ultracyclists expose themselves to extreme physical challenges. This study aimed to elucidate the effects of ultracycling on electrolyte and fluid balance and investigate the potential occurrence of peripheral edema. Methods: A total of 4 clinical visits were performed before, during, and after a 6-day bicycle ride in 13 ultracyclists (5 female, 8 male) including serial laboratory analyses of blood and urine, bioelectrical impedance, and echocardiography. Throughout the ride, participants continuously tracked fluid intake, measured extremity circumferences daily, and self-tested urinary electrolytes using a point-of-care testing device. Portrait photos were judged by 20 physicians for occurrence of facial and eyelid edema. Results: Participants covered a mean distance of 1205 km and 19,417 vertical meters. From baseline to day 6, body weight remained stable (P = 0.479); however, body composition changed with increasing total body water (TBW) (+1.98 l ± 1.37, P = 0.003) and plasma volume (+18.86 % ± 10.7, P < 0.001). A significant increase in N-terminal pro brain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) (+297.99 ng/l ± 190.42, P < 0.001) until day 6 indicates concomitant cardiac volume overload. Swelling of face and eyelids peaked on day 5 (both P ≤ 0.033). On recovery, changes partly resolved. Although urinary sodium concentration showed a nadir on day 4 (-32.18 mmol/l ± 23.88, P = 0.022), plasma osmolality (+5.69 mmosmol/kg ± 5.88, P = 0.004) and copeptin (+38.28 pg/ml ± 18.90, P < 0.001) increased steadily until day 6. Conclusion: Ultracycling over multiple days induces extracellular volume expansion, peripheral edema, and cardiac volume overload. Renal sodium and water retention is likely contributing to this condition.

Randomized Trial of SGLT2 Inhibitor Identifies Target Proteins in Diabetic Kidney Disease.

Introduction: Sodium-glucose cotransporter 2 inhibitors (SGLT2i) have emerged as novel therapeutics to treat diabetic kidney disease (DKD). Although the beneficial effects of SGLT2i have been demonstrated, their target mechanisms on kidney function are unknown. The current study aimed to elucidate these mechanisms by studying SGLT2i-induced changes in the urinary proteome of persons with type 2 diabetes (T2D) and DKD. Methods: A total of 40 participants with T2D were enrolled in a double-blinded randomized cross-over trial at the Steno Diabetes Center Copenhagen, Denmark. They were treated with 10 mg of dapagliflozin for 12 weeks. Thirty-two participants with complete urinary proteomics measures before and after the trial were included. All participants received renin-angiotensin system blockade and had albuminuria, (urine albumin-to-creatinine ratio [UACR] ≥30 mg/g). A type 1 diabetes (T1D) cohort consisting of healthy controls and persons with DKD was included for validation. Urinary proteome changes were analyzed using Wilcoxon signed-rank test. Functional enrichment analysis was conducted to discover affected biological processes. Results: Dapagliflozin treatment significantly (Padjusted < 0.05) affected 36 urinary peptide fragments derived from 19 proteins. Eighteen proteins were correspondingly reflected in the validation cohort. A multifold change in peptide abundance was observed in many proteins (A1BG, urinary albumin [ALB], Caldesmon 1, COLCRNN, heat shock protein 90-ß [HSP90AB1], IGLL5, peptidase inhibitor 16 [PI16], prostaglandin-H2-D-isomerase [PTGDS], SERPINA1). These also included urinary biomarkers of kidney fibrosis and function (type I and III collagens and albumin). Biological processes relating to inflammation, wound healing, and kidney fibrosis were enriched. Conclusion: The current study discovers the urinary proteome impacted by the SGLT2i, thereby providing new potential target sites and pathways, especially relating to wound healing and inflammation.

Prevalence, patient burden and physicians' perception of pruritus in haemodialysis patients.

BACKGROUND: Chronic kidney disease-associated pruritus (CKD-aP) is an underrated symptom in patients with impaired kidney function. The present study assessed the prevalence, impact on quality of life (QoL) and risk factors for CKD-aP in a contemporary national cohort of patients on haemodialysis. In addition, we evaluated attending physicians' awareness and approach to therapy. METHODS: Validated patient's and physician's questionnaires on pruritus severity and QoL were used in combination with information obtained by the Austrian Dialysis and Transplant Registry. RESULTS: The prevalence of mild, moderate and severe pruritus in 962 observed patients was 34.4%, 11.4% and 4.3%. Physicians' estimated prevalence values were 25.0 (95% CI 16.8-33.2), 14.4 (11.3-17.6) and 6.3% (4.9-8.3), respectively. The estimated national prevalence estimate extrapolated from the observed patients was 45.0% (95% CI 39.5-51.2) for any, 13.9% (95% CI 10.6-17.2) for moderate and 4.2% (95% CI 2.1-6.2) for severe CKD-aP. CKD-aP severity was significantly associated with impaired QoL. Risk factors for moderate-severe pruritus were higher C-reactive protein [odds ratio (OR) 1.61 (95% CI 1.07-2.43)] and parathyroid hormone (PTH) values [OR 1.50 (95% CI 1.00-2.27)]. Therapy for CKD-aP included changes in the dialysis regimen, topical treatments, antihistamines, gabapentin and pregabalin and phototherapy in a majority of centres. CONCLUSIONS: While the overall prevalence of CKD-aP in our study is similar to that in previously published literature, the prevalence of moderate-severe pruritus is lower. CKD-aP was associated with reduced QoL and elevated markers of inflammation and PTH. The high awareness of CKD-aP in Austrian nephrologists may explain the lower prevalence of more severe pruritus.

Combination Therapy of RAS Inhibition and SGLT2 Inhibitors Decreases Levels of Endotrophin in Persons with Type 2 Diabetes.

We investigated for the first time the effect of combination therapy of renin-angiotensin system inhibition (RASi) and sodium-glucose co-transporter-2 inhibitors (SGLT2is) on endotrophin (ETP), a pro-fibrotic signaling molecule reflecting collagen type VI formation, measured in the plasma of persons with type 2 diabetes (T2D). ETP was measured using the PRO-C6 ELISA in 294 individuals from the "Drug combinations for rewriting trajectories of renal pathologies in type 2 diabetes" (DC-ren) project. In the DC-ren study, kidney disease progression was defined as a >10% decline in the estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) to an eGFR < 60 mL/min/1.73 m2. Among the investigated circulating markers, ETP was the most significant predictor of future eGFR. Combination therapy of RASi and SGLT2is led to a significant reduction in ETP levels compared to RASi monotherapy (p for slope difference = 0.002). Higher levels of baseline plasma ETP were associated with a significantly increased risk of kidney disease progression (p = 0.007). In conclusion, plasma ETP identified individuals at higher risk of kidney disease progression. The observed decreased levels of plasma ETP with combination therapy of RASi and SGLT2is in persons with T2D may reflect a reduced risk of kidney disease progression following treatment with SGLT2is.

Urinary peptide analysis to predict the response to blood pressure medication.

BACKGROUND AND HYPOTHESIS: The risk of Diabetic Kidney Disease (DKD) progression is significant despite renin-angiotensin system (RAS) blocking agents treatment. Current clinical tools cannot predict whether or not patients will respond to the treatment with RAS-inhibitors (RASi). We aimed to investigate if proteome analysis could identify urinary peptides as biomarkers that could predict the response to angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitor (ACEi) and angiotensin receptor blockers (ARBs) treatment to avoid DKD progression. Furthermore, we investigated the comparability of the estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR), calculated using four different GFR-equations, for DKD progression. METHODS: We evaluated urine samples from a discovery cohort of 199 diabetic patients treated with RASi. DKD progression was defined based on eGFR percentage slope results between visits (∼1 year) and for the entire period (∼3 year) based on the eGFR values of each GFR-equation. Urine samples were analysed using capillary electrophoresis coupled mass spectrometry. Statistical analysis was performed between the uncontrolled (patients who did not respond to RASi treatment) and controlled kidney function groups (patients who responded to the RASi treatment). Peptides were combined in a support vector machine-based model. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) was used to evaluate the risk prediction models in two independent validation cohorts treated with RASi. RESULTS: The classification of patients into uncontrolled and controlled kidney function varies depending on the GFR-equation used, despite the same sample set. We identified 227 peptides showing nominal significant difference and consistent fold changes between uncontrolled and controlled patients in at least three methods of eGFR calculation. These included fragments of collagens, alpha-1-antitrypsin, antithrombin-III, CD99 antigen, and uromodulin. A model based on 189 of 227 peptides (DKDp189) showed a significant prediction of non-response to the treatment/DKD progression in two independent cohorts. CONCLUSIONS: The DKDp189 model demonstrates potential as a predictive tool for guiding treatment with RASi in diabetic patients.

Candidate composite biomarker to inform drug treatments for diabetic kidney disease.

Introduction: Current guidelines recommend renin angiotensin system inhibitors (RASi) as key components of treatment of diabetic kidney disease (DKD). Additional options include sodium-glucose cotransporter-2 inhibitors (SGLT2i), glucagon-like peptide 1 receptor agonists (GLP1a), and mineralocorticoid receptor antagonists (MCRa). The identification of the optimum drug combination for an individual is difficult because of the inter-, and longitudinal intra-individual heterogeneity of response to therapy. Results: Using data from a large observational study (PROVALID), we identified a set of parameters that can be combined into a meaningful composite biomarker that appears to be able to identify which of the various treatment options is clinically beneficial for an individual. It uses machine-earning techniques to estimate under what conditions a treatment of RASi plus an additional treatment is different from the treatment with RASi alone. The measure of difference is the annual percent change (ΔeGFR) in the estimated glomerular filtration rate (ΔeGFR). The 1eGFR is estimated for both the RASi-alone treatment and the add-on treatment. Discussion: Higher estimated increase of eGFR for add-on patients compared with RASi-alone patients indicates that prognosis may be improved with the add-on treatment. The personalized biomarker value thus identifies which patients may benefit from the additional treatment.

Regional Variation in Hemoglobin Distribution Among Individuals With CKD: the ISN International Network of CKD Cohorts.

Introduction: Despite recognized geographic and sex-based differences in hemoglobin in the general population, these factors are typically ignored in patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD) in whom a single therapeutic range for hemoglobin is recommended. We sought to compare the distribution of hemoglobin across international nondialysis CKD populations and evaluate predictors of hemoglobin. Methods: In this cross-sectional study, hemoglobin distribution was evaluated in each cohort overall and stratified by sex and estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR). Relationships between candidate predictors and hemoglobin were assessed from linear regression models in each cohort. Estimates were subsequently pooled in a random effects model. Results: A total of 58,613 participants from 21 adult cohorts (median eGFR range of 17-49 ml/min) and 3 pediatric cohorts (median eGFR range of 26-45 ml/min) were included with broad geographic representation. Hemoglobin values varied substantially among the cohorts, overall and within eGFR categories, with particularly low mean hemoglobin observed in women from Asian and African cohorts. Across the eGFR range, women had a lower hemoglobin compared to men, even at an eGFR of 15 ml/min (mean difference 5.3 g/l, 95% confidence interval [CI] 3.7-6.9). Lower eGFR, female sex, older age, lower body mass index, and diabetic kidney disease were all independent predictors of a lower hemoglobin value; however, this only explained a minority of variance (R2 7%-44% across cohorts). Conclusion: There are substantial regional differences in hemoglobin distribution among individuals with CKD, and the majority of variance is unexplained by demographics, eGFR, or comorbidities. These findings call for a renewed interest in improving our understanding of hemoglobin determinants in specific CKD populations.

Exploratory Study Analyzing the Urinary Peptidome of T2DM Patients Suggests Changes in ECM but Also Inflammatory and Metabolic Pathways Following GLP-1R Agonist Treatment.

Type II diabetes mellitus (T2DM) accounts for approximately 90% of all diabetes mellitus cases in the world. Glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor (GLP-1R) agonists have established an increased capability to target directly or indirectly six core defects associated with T2DM, while the underlying molecular mechanisms of these pharmacological effects are not fully known. This exploratory study was conducted to analyze the effect of treatment with GLP-1R agonists on the urinary peptidome of T2DM patients. Urine samples of thirty-two T2DM patients from the PROVALID study ("A Prospective Cohort Study in Patients with T2DM for Validation of Biomarkers") collected pre- and post-treatment with GLP-1R agonist drugs were analyzed by CE-MS. In total, 70 urinary peptides were significantly affected by GLP-1R agonist treatment, generated from 26 different proteins. The downregulation of MMP proteases, based on the concordant downregulation of urinary collagen peptides, was highlighted. Treatment also resulted in the downregulation of peptides from SERPINA1, APOC3, CD99, CPSF6, CRNN, SERPINA6, HBA2, MB, VGF, PIGR, and TTR, many of which were previously found to be associated with increased insulin resistance and inflammation. The findings indicate potential molecular mechanisms of GLP-1R agonists in the context of the management of T2DM and the prevention or delaying of the progression of its associated diseases.

COVID-19 outcomes in patients with a history of immune-mediated glomerular diseases.

Introduction: Patients with immune-mediated glomerular diseases are considered at high risk for severe COVID-19 outcomes. However, conclusive evidence for this patient population is scarce. Methods: We created a global registry and retrospectively collected clinical data of patients with COVID-19 and a previously diagnosed immune-mediated glomerular disease to characterize specific risk factors for severe COVID-19 outcomes. Results: Fifty-nine patients with a history of immune-mediated glomerular diseases were diagnosed with COVID-19 between 01.03.2020 and 31.08.2021. Over a mean follow-up period of 24.79 ± 18.89 days, ten patients (16.9%) developed acute kidney injury. Overall, 44.1% of patients were managed in an outpatient setting and therefore considered as having "non-severe" COVID-19, while 55.9% of patients had severe COVID-19 requiring hospitalization including worse outcomes. Comparing both groups, patients with severe COVID-19 were significantly older (53.55 ± 17.91 versus 39.77 ± 14.95 years, p = .003), had lower serum albumin levels at presentation (3.00 ± 0.80 g/dL versus 3.99 ± 0.68 g/dL, p = .016) and had a higher risk of developing acute kidney injury (27% versus 4%, p = .018). Male sex (p <.001) and ongoing intake of corticosteroids at presentation (p = .047) were also significantly associated with severe COVID-19 outcomes, while the overall use of ongoing immunosuppressive agents and glomerular disease remission status showed no significant association with the severity of COVID-19 (p = .430 and p = .326, respectively). Conclusion: Older age, male sex, ongoing intake of corticosteroids and lower serum albumin levels at presentation were identified as risk factors for severe COVID-19 outcomes in patients with a history of various immune-mediated glomerular diseases.

Prognosis and Personalized In Silico Prediction of Treatment Efficacy in Cardiovascular and Chronic Kidney Disease: A Proof-of-Concept Study.

(1) Background: Kidney and cardiovascular diseases are responsible for a large fraction of population morbidity and mortality. Early, targeted, personalized intervention represents the ideal approach to cope with this challenge. Proteomic/peptidomic changes are largely responsible for the onset and progression of these diseases and should hold information about the optimal means of treatment and prevention. (2) Methods: We investigated the prediction of renal or cardiovascular events using previously defined urinary peptidomic classifiers CKD273, HF2, and CAD160 in a cohort of 5585 subjects, in a retrospective study. (3) Results: We have demonstrated a highly significant prediction of events, with an HR of 2.59, 1.71, and 4.12 for HF, CAD, and CKD, respectively. We applied in silico treatment, implementing on each patient's urinary profile changes to the classifiers corresponding to exactly defined peptide abundance changes, following commonly used interventions (MRA, SGLT2i, DPP4i, ARB, GLP1RA, olive oil, and exercise), as defined in previous studies. Applying the proteomic classifiers after the in silico treatment indicated the individual benefits of specific interventions on a personalized level. (4) Conclusions: The in silico evaluation may provide information on the future impact of specific drugs and interventions on endpoints, opening the door to a precision-based medicine approach. An investigation into the extent of the benefit of this approach in a prospective clinical trial is warranted.

[Diabetic kidney disease (update 2023) : Position paper of the Austrian Diabetes Association and the Austrian Society for Nephrology]. / Diabetische Nierenerkrankung (Update 2023) : Positionspapier der Österreichischen Diabetes Gesellschaft und der Österreichischen Gesellschaft für Nephrologie.

Epidemiological investigations have shown that approximately 2-3% of all Austrians have diabetes mellitus with renal involvement, leaving 250,000 people in Austria affected. The risk of occurrence and progression of this disease can be attenuated by lifestyle interventions as well as optimization of blood pressure, blood glucose control and special drug classes. The present article represents the joint recommendations of the Austrian Diabetes Association and the Austrian Society of Nephrology for the diagnostic and treatment strategies of diabetic kidney disease.

International Variability of Renal and Cardiovascular Outcomes and Mortality in Patients with Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus in Europe.

INTRODUCTION: Type 2 diabetes and its complications represent a huge burden to public health. With this prospective, observational cohort study, we aimed to estimate and to compare the incidence rate (IR) of renal and cardiovascular outcomes and all-cause mortality in patients with type 2 diabetes in different European countries. METHODS: The renal endpoint was a composite of a sustained decline in estimated GFR of at least 40%, a sustained increase in albuminuria of at least 30% including a transition in albuminuria class, progression to kidney failure with replacement therapy, or death from renal causes. The cardiovascular endpoint was a composite of death from cardiovascular causes, nonfatal myocardial infarction, or nonfatal stroke. RESULTS: 3,131 participants from four European countries (Austria, Hungary, The Netherlands, and Scotland) with a median follow-up time of 4.4 years were included. IRs were adjusted for several risk factors including sex, age, estimated GFR, albuminuria, HbA1c, blood pressure, and duration of type 2 diabetes. Across countries, the adjusted IR for the renal endpoint was significantly higher in Hungary and Austria, and the adjusted IR for the cardiovascular endpoint was significantly higher in Scotland and Austria. All-cause mortality was significantly higher in Scotland compared to all other countries. CONCLUSION: Our findings show how the longitudinal outcome of patients with type 2 diabetes varies significantly across European countries even after accounting for the distribution of underlying risk factors.

Development and Validation of a Prediction Model for Future Estimated Glomerular Filtration Rate in People With Type 2 Diabetes and Chronic Kidney Disease.

Importance: Type 2 diabetes increases the risk of progressive diabetic kidney disease, but reliable prediction tools that can be used in clinical practice and aid in patients' understanding of disease progression are currently lacking. Objective: To develop and externally validate a model to predict future trajectories in estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) in adults with type 2 diabetes and chronic kidney disease using data from 3 European multinational cohorts. Design, Setting, and Participants: This prognostic study used baseline and follow-up information collected between February 2010 and December 2019 from 3 prospective multinational cohort studies: PROVALID (Prospective Cohort Study in Patients with Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus for Validation of Biomarkers), GCKD (German Chronic Kidney Disease), and DIACORE (Diabetes Cohorte). A total of 4637 adult participants (aged 18-75 years) with type 2 diabetes and mildly to moderately impaired kidney function (baseline eGFR of ≥30 mL/min/1.73 m2) were included. Data were analyzed between June 30, 2021, and January 31, 2023. Main Outcomes and Measures: Thirteen variables readily available from routine clinical care visits (age, sex, body mass index; smoking status; hemoglobin A1c [mmol/mol and percentage]; hemoglobin, and serum cholesterol levels; mean arterial pressure, urinary albumin-creatinine ratio, and intake of glucose-lowering, blood-pressure lowering, or lipid-lowering medication) were selected as predictors. Repeated eGFR measurements at baseline and follow-up visits were used as the outcome. A linear mixed-effects model for repeated eGFR measurements at study entry up to the last recorded follow-up visit (up to 5 years after baseline) was fit and externally validated. Results: Among 4637 adults with type 2 diabetes and chronic kidney disease (mean [SD] age at baseline, 63.5 [9.1] years; 2680 men [57.8%]; all of White race), 3323 participants from the PROVALID and GCKD studies (mean [SD] age at baseline, 63.2 [9.3] years; 1864 men [56.1%]) were included in the model development cohort, and 1314 participants from the DIACORE study (mean [SD] age at baseline, 64.5 [8.3] years; 816 men [62.1%]) were included in the external validation cohort, with a mean (SD) follow-up of 5.0 (0.6) years. Updating the random coefficient estimates with baseline eGFR values yielded improved predictive performance, which was particularly evident in the visual inspection of the calibration curve (calibration slope at 5 years: 1.09; 95% CI, 1.04-1.15). The prediction model had good discrimination in the validation cohort, with the lowest C statistic at 5 years after baseline (0.79; 95% CI, 0.77-0.80). The model also had predictive accuracy, with an R2 ranging from 0.70 (95% CI, 0.63-0.76) at year 1 to 0.58 (95% CI, 0.53-0.63) at year 5. Conclusions and Relevance: In this prognostic study, a reliable prediction model was developed and externally validated; the robust model was well calibrated and capable of predicting kidney function decline up to 5 years after baseline. The results and prediction model are publicly available in an accompanying web-based application, which may open the way for improved prediction of individual eGFR trajectories and disease progression.